Anticipation
10 8 4 3
A 8 6 5 4
9
7 4 3
K 6 2
J 10 9 3 2
K 10 8
A K
West |
North |
East |
South |
|
Pass |
1 ♥ |
1 NT |
All Pass |
|
Your partner leads the
♣ 10. How do you plan your
defense?
Attacking hearts is probably futile; partner is likely to be void.
Perhaps partner led from ♣ Q-10-9-x-x and a side ace? That's a
pipe-dream, of course, but certainly one worth playing for at imps.
Since this is matchpoints, perhaps you should worry about overtricks.
Assuming declarer has the last three hearts, there is a danger
of declarer squeezing you in hearts and diamonds.
So you win the
♣ A (so partner doesn't get deceived about
the suit) and cash the second club (declarer dropping the jack).
You then lead the
♦ 10 to smother the nine in dummy.
If partner has a diamond card, you might be providing the entry to
his clubs, if he did lead from
♣ Q-10-9-x-x.
As it is, declare wins the
♦ Q, partner discouraging.
Declarer leads the
♠ Q, and partner follows low.
What now?
You should duck. The end position you should fear is:
On the play of the last club, you would be squeezed.
For declarer to get to this position, he needs to somehow cash the
fourth spade without using the
♥ A entry. He might be
able to do that if you win the
♠ K, on this deal:
10 8 4 3
A 8 6 5 4
9
7 4 3
A 9 7
—
7 6 5 4 2
10 9 8 5 4
K 6 2
J 10 9 3 2
K 10 8
A K
Q J 5
K Q 8
A Q J 3
Q J 6
If you win the
♠ K and exit anything, partner is under pressure
to do the right thing when declarer next leads the
♠ J. Partner
will have to duck the jack to break up the red suit squeeze against you.
Perhaps he can see that, perhaps not. In any event, if you duck
the
♠ Q, you won't have to worry about it.
As it was, you have to lead diamonds at some point to break up
another heart/diamond squeeze, because otherwise declarer could have made the
fourth spade his squeeze card in this position:
On the last spade, you have to either pitch a diamond, giving declarer
three diamond tricks, or the
♥ J, giving declarer two hearts
and two diamonds.
Declarer can arrive at this position easily, because here he is allowed to
use the
♥ A entry to finish the spades.
At the beginning, I implied setting up hearts was useless, and that was
correct up to a point, but, in fact, leading hearts at every turn does break
up the squeeze(s).
You win the first club, and fire back a high heart.
Declare attacks spades first. You win the second spade, fire back
a low heart (which nominally lets declarer win his eight, but that
gives declarer no new tricks.) declarer leads another spade, West winning.
If West exits in clubs, you win and lead a third heart in this position:
By putting declarer in dummy before he has cashed his last club,
you have left yourself some room to breath when the fourth spade is
cashed.
!
Declarer does no better attacking clubs first, because he can't afford
to cash his established club before allowing your partner in with the spade.
So attacking hearts does work, but I prefer the diamond shift, as it
protects against the red-suit squeezes and the possibility of partner
holding
♦ Q and
♣ Q-10-9-x-x.
On this deal, you would get about 60% for holding declarer to two,
and 30% for allowing three to make. Watch out for those overtricks.